Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 9.370924 10.718961 12.205345 13.967964 16.003930 18.285075 21.039319
2025-09-14 7.590084 9.348206 11.443590 14.133034 17.505109 21.608459 27.003553
2025-09-21 6.457743 8.382269 10.806760 14.100885 18.484187 24.149906 32.082826
2025-09-28 5.606267 7.592632 10.210156 13.935785 19.141537 26.214678 36.651073
2025-10-05 5.166857 7.263815 10.138909 14.403437 20.627589 29.471466 43.152536
2025-10-12 4.780354 6.947015 10.024434 14.760586 21.949146 32.584533 49.759140
2025-10-19 4.499880 6.741209 10.029621 15.265735 23.506872 36.166905 57.449723
2025-10-26 4.038519 6.212939 9.495114 14.880144 23.631665 37.531639 61.751093
2025-11-02 3.687182 5.815349 9.114483 14.682157 24.008754 39.298229 66.863787
2025-11-09 3.390271 5.473136 8.783808 14.521283 24.411279 41.117923 72.233384
2025-11-16 3.123150 5.153230 8.456642 14.326506 24.721958 42.788798 77.494593
2025-11-23 2.870790 4.834626 8.101325 14.044033 24.840190 44.114779 82.244140
2025-11-30 2.786205 4.796717 8.221467 14.612422 26.548982 48.493420 93.322293
2025-12-07 2.642982 4.643870 8.128106 14.785876 27.546133 51.657027 102.421277
2025-12-14 2.482070 4.445060 7.934503 14.752147 28.140521 54.102007 110.349700
2025-12-21 2.316742 4.224081 7.681124 14.578925 28.440564 55.989590 117.328740
2025-12-28 2.255088 4.189780 7.768716 15.069600 30.102859 60.769679 131.061527
2026-01-04 2.182310 4.127900 7.797760 15.444365 31.561489 65.274319 144.743675
2026-01-11 2.132404 4.105646 7.900139 15.974477 33.393486 70.753497 161.327851
2026-01-18 1.980751 3.871147 7.566054 15.569825 33.180905 71.766890 167.584284
2026-01-25 1.862658 3.695017 7.335176 15.362065 33.376894 73.701873 176.286668
2026-02-01 1.757783 3.537982 7.131041 15.193255 33.641515 75.814466 185.685016
2026-02-08 1.657430 3.382961 6.919311 14.988878 33.803689 77.701322 194.745291